{"id":15346,"date":"2026-01-30T17:34:08","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T10:34:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/?p=15346"},"modified":"2026-01-30T17:36:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T10:36:48","slug":"dau-tu-cong-va-tieu-dung-noi-dia-se-dan-dat-tang-truong-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/dau-tu-cong-va-tieu-dung-noi-dia-se-dan-dat-tang-truong-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ed8NG L\u1ef0C N\u1ed8I \u0110\u1ecaA S\u1ebc D\u1eaaN D\u1eaeT T\u0102NG TR\u01af\u1edeNG N\u0102M 2026 &#8211; VI\u1ec6T NAM V\u1eaaN L\u00c0 TH\u1eca TR\u01af\u1edcNG TI\u1ec0M N\u0102NG H\u00daT V\u1ed0N NGO\u1ea0I"},"content":{"rendered":"<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-15348\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/MNAP_-Website-Linkedin-Article_Kien-thuc-dau-tu-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1920\" height=\"1080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/MNAP_-Website-Linkedin-Article_Kien-thuc-dau-tu-4.png 1920w, https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/MNAP_-Website-Linkedin-Article_Kien-thuc-dau-tu-4-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/MNAP_-Website-Linkedin-Article_Kien-thuc-dau-tu-4-1536x864.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n t\u1eeb <a href=\"https:\/\/vietstock.vn\/2026\/01\/dau-tu-cong-va-tieu-dung-noi-dia-se-dan-dat-tang-truong-2026-761-1392799.htm\">Vietstock.vn<\/a> v\u1ec1 b\u1ee9c tranh kinh t\u1ebf 2026, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u00ecnh T\u00f9ng &#8211; Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0, CTCP Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd qu\u1ef9 Ph\u00fa H\u01b0ng (PHFM) \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1, s\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd l\u00e0 &#8220;b\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ee1&#8221; gi\u00fap GDP b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, PHFM c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ngo\u1ea1i khi c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c quan tr\u1ecdng<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00d4ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong n\u0103m 2026?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP tr\u00ean 10%, \u0111i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c cam k\u1ebft m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 IMF, WB, ADB, HSBC, UOB v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, khi \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o quanh 6-7%, b\u00e1m s\u00e1t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng n\u00e2ng d\u1ea7n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u 2025.<\/p>\n<p>D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng cam k\u1ebft v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i tin r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng quanh ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 8% l\u00e0 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u1ea3 thi.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh cho m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb: Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau cho \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t &#8211; xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, qua \u0111\u00f3 k\u00edch th\u00edch ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro khi\u1ebfn qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0: Vi\u1ec7c k\u00edch th\u00edch c\u1ea3 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a qu\u00e1 \u0111\u00e0, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1edbm quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ho\u1eb7c thu h\u1eb9p v\u00e0 thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e0 h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u1ecb ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00d4ng \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng k\u00e9p?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn chung, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) v\u00e0 ECB \u0111ang tr\u00ean con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 t\u1eeb th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2023-2024 sang giai \u0111o\u1ea1n trung t\u00ednh h\u01a1n trong 2025-2026 khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m, tuy nhi\u00ean v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 qua. Trong n\u0103m 2026, Fed s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t h\u01a1n ECB, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng Fed c\u00f3 th\u00eam 2 \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00ec v\u1eady, chu k\u1ef3 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1eafp t\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, gi\u00fap Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc (NHNN) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, v\u1edbi m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng. Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1edf h\u1eefu d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o v\u00e0 b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch l\u00e0nh m\u1ea1nh v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u1ee3 c\u00f4ng th\u1ea5p. V\u00e0 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i v\u1eabn nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n, c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u1eabn s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u1ee9c mua trong n\u01b0\u1edbc qua c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 nh\u01b0 gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf VAT ho\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh thu\u1ebf TNCN.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-15350 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"633\" height=\"356\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-4.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-4-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 633px) 100vw, 633px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00d4ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m 2026?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t huy \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng, do m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u1edf v\u00f9ng th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cao h\u01a1n kh\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng huy \u0111\u1ed9ng trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng n\u00e0y mang t\u00ednh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac do \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng do nhu c\u1ea7u t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cao v\u00e0 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. NHNN v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1eb7t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao trong n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u00c1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND trong 2026 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2u?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Trong n\u0103m 2025, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 3.95% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh kho\u1ea3ng 1.8%\/n\u0103m c\u1ee7a VND trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2015-2025, cho th\u1ea5y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103m 2025 mang t\u00ednh b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n. Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i \u1ee9ng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng USD duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao khi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, qua \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>B\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m 2026, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eeb y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng USD gi\u1eef v\u1eefng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh n\u1ebfu kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0 Fed duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, d\u00f9 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng l\u1edbn, r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan v\u1eabn l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND trong n\u0103m 2026 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a giai \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. V\u1edbi n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng v\u0129 m\u00f4 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1eefng v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh linh ho\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a NHNN, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p, thay v\u00ec h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t chu k\u1ef3 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-15349 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"660\" height=\"371\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-3.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/ZALO-POSTlinkedin-event-1280-x-720-px-Phuong-3-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 660px) 100vw, 660px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>(<\/em><em>Ngu\u1ed3n: Vietstock.vn)<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00d4ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0o cho d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp (FII) v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t n\u1ebfu c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n m\u1edbi? \u0110\u00e2u l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kh\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i quan t\u00e2m nh\u1ea5t?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Khi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n FII, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 chia th\u00e0nh 2 nh\u00f3m ch\u00ednh: D\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ed9ng, vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd thu h\u00fat d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 theo ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 FTSE Emerging Markets.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng chung c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c r\u00fat v\u1ed1n kh\u1ecfi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1eadn bi\u00ean v\u00e0 m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng h\u1ea1ng s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u1ec1 ti\u00eau ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, n\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m b\u00e1n r\u00f2ng v\u00e0 s\u1edbm quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Khi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o 3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i: Ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn, v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 t\u1ed1i \u0111a h\u00f3a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt nh\u1ea5t trong khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t bao g\u1ed3m gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n s\u1edf h\u1eefu n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 minh b\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a th\u00f4ng tin th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, c\u00f9ng r\u1ee7i ro t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u1edf m\u1ee9c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t. Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1edbp b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 cho kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi gi\u00fap tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 khi c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-15352 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/Picture1-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"630\" height=\"331\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">Ngu\u1ed3n: t\u1eeb Vietstock.vn<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n t\u1eeb Vietstock.vn v\u1ec1 b\u1ee9c tranh kinh t\u1ebf 2026, \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n \u0110\u00ecnh T\u00f9ng &#8211; Tr\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u00f2ng \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0, CTCP Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd qu\u1ef9 Ph\u00fa H\u01b0ng (PHFM) \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1, s\u1ef1 c\u1ed9ng h\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd l\u00e0 &#8220;b\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ee1&#8221; gi\u00fap GDP b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1ea1c&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":15348,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[103,107],"tags":[175,173,174,176,177,178],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15346"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15346"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15346\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15356,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15346\/revisions\/15356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15348"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15346"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15346"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.phfm.vn\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15346"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}